Tuesday, December 30, 2008

What a turn around!

So I went back and analyzed my 3rd and 4th place finishes. I noticed two things:
My 3rd place finishes I was really short stacked and my ratio to being ahead vs behind was just one. In my 4th place finishes I was also short stacked but my ratio to ahead vs behind was 5. SO I figured there was a possible leak in my game, specifically bubble play.

I also noticed I was heads up 12 times but only won 7 of those, another possible leak.

So I did some research and figured out I need to be more aggressive on the bubble, and in doing so that will help me get to heads up more often. Basically, I am taking more calculated risks on the bubble and possible giving up $3.60 to win $5.40 or even $9.00.

So I looked up some push fold charts, Nash Equilibrium Game Theory and SAGE Game Theories and ICM. I fired up 8 sngs and with my new found aggression on the bubble and heads up strategies and went to town. Also I am going to keep a record of the blinds and my chip stack to track how good or bad I am doing

Only one session tonight kinda under the weather and going to go to bed early.

1. 5th, A6 vs 99 2400 in chips blinds 150/300 I was on the button and pushed.
2. 1st, Q8d vs K6o he only had 1500 chips blinds 250/500 I shoved and hit
3. 1st, QJ vs AA he only had 2000 I shoved and flopped trips
4. 7th, 33 vs 88 blinds 60/120 700 chips I pushed UTG.
5. 4th, AK in the BB, SB raised I re popped he had AA, blinds 50/100 2k in chips, in hindsight I probably could have just called and whiffed the flop and possibly got away from it. The again I am only really afraid of AA, jury is still out.
6. 2nd, Hit top pair and flush draw, he flopped two pair, not sure I could get away from this hand heads up I had 3300 blinds 150/300, I was in the BB and had Qc2c maybe I should have pushed preflop, the flop was Qh9c4c, he had 94o.
7. 1st, KQ vs K3 I raised he re raised all in I called he only had 2000 chips blinds 200/400.
8. 5th, pushed K5s on the button ran into AJ blinds 100/200 had 1300 in chips.

Tonight's total +$14.40

Monday, December 29, 2008

WOW! WOW! WOW!

Wow, and not World of Warcraft. Tonight was just....Well I am at a loss for words.

I played 16 sngs tonight cashed in 6 for 37.5 percent but in the end lost $10.80 which was everything I won yesterday.

Session 1: 2/8 down $9.00(4 buy ins)
1. AJ ran into AQ which crippled me, so I pushed K9 and ran into AQ out 6th.
2. 77 vs J5 flop was all unders I pushed he called with air, rivered Jack 5th.
3. AK vs A5 he hit crippled me with 4 left, by some miracle I managed 3rd but pushed A9 and ran into KJs and he flopped the flush.
4. KK vs AK, yes you know what happened, pushed 66 vs AK he hit out 6th.
5. SS pushed T9 got called by 63 off he hit trips
6. 4th blinded out, had nothing.
7. 2nd SS hit mid pair, pushed he called with draw, and hit
8. Pushed AJ vs KT crippled me out 6th.

Session 2: 4/8 down $1.80(not quite 1 buying)
1. SS pushed K9 vs TT missed 3rd
2. SS , the short stack double twice, I managed 3rd pushed 99 ran into QQ
3. QQ found KK, I have had QQ 4 times in the last two days and have ran them into AA or KK each time 7th.
4. Flopped top 2, get it all in he turns flush. 8th
5. QQ found AA, he slow played it well out 6th
6. Flopped top pair, he riverd one of his 3 outs 2nd.
7. A9 vs A8, he hit, 3rd
8. Flop trips, run run for the flush, yeah... 7th

Totals through 48 SNGS:

ROI 16.7% what a turn around.
ITM 45.8 this is pretty good.
1st - 7
2nd - 5
3rd - 10
4th - 7

Interesting facts: with 4 left I am running 76% to cash. I will take that.

I need to review my 3rd and 4th place finishes and get them moved up one spot. If I can move up one spot I am a slight favorite to make it to first.

Sunday, December 28, 2008

Three more sessions

Session One:

Went on a nice heater, Cashed in 5 out of 8, with two firsts, one second and two thirds. I bubbled twice and finished 5th in the other one. I took two horrible beats in this set. I had TT busted by 66, AK vs KJ and he flopped trip Jacks. All my other hands held up.

Session Two:

I cashed in 3, one first and two thirds. I had AJ vs 76 and he hit the straight which cost me second place. I lost a race 66 vs K7 which cost another second place finish. I had QQ run into AA twice. One interesting hand with five left I pushed with AT hoping to take the blinds and got called by 22. How you make this call is beyond me. You are 50/50 against most hands and the hands you are not your a 4 to 1 dog. Oh well he made the call I missed and out 5th.

Session Three:

5 cashes again. Two firsts, one second and 3 thirds. Not to shabby. One interesting hand was with 3 left. I raised enough to pot commit the short stack. He pushed all in and the big stack pushed all in. I had AJ and was completely lost in the hand. If I folded I had about 2k left. Well I donk called and ran into AA and KK. The short stack had AA and tripled up and I went out in thrid. Next time I should fold this hand.

Stats through 4 sessions--- 32 SNGs:

ROI 40%
ITM 50%
Profit +28.80

These number far exceed my expectations I was hoping to have and ROI of 25% but after looking at these session I did take my far share of suck outs, I gave a few too. I think if I can sustain this I might be able to move up if a few weeks. I do enjoy playing 8 tables at a time.

Friday, December 26, 2008

My first 8 tabling session!

Well I had my first 8 tabling session tonight. It was a bit overwhelming at first. It wasn't because of the volume of tables, I can easily play 6 at one time, mix and match of cash and tourneys, but rather the anticipation. I also realized that I need to take a 5 minute break in between sessions just to relax a bit.

First hand out I picked up KK and doubled up from AK. Good thing too because a few hands later I picked up AA against 99 and he flopped a set. Ironically I got AA again 5 hands later and was all in against the same guy who had AA. The best part was his complaining about it. I said pretty funny coming from you who hit a two outer on me. His come back was "The best hand won." Fish you got to love them, but hate them at the same time.

I finished with two first places victories and one second place. Ironically all the hands held up to finish those tourneys, I had JJ vs 45 and A9 vs A7 hold up in my two victories. Then A7 vs AT lost as it should be.

I finished 4th in two, I had QJ vs T3 off he rivered a 3 and AT vs 65 he flopped two pair and filled up on the turn. I win one of those and I have a bigger night.

I finished 6th when I was short stacked and pushed 88 and ran into KK.

I also finished 8th and 9th to some coolers. I had 88 with and OESD on the flop and pushed all in and got called by J4 who also had a OESD but I was counterfeiting two of his outs, needless to say he rivered a Jack.

I also flopped two pair against another two pair.

Session totals up $5.50. I will attempt this tommorrow a few more times and see how it goes.

Wednesday, December 24, 2008

Still running bad

I move $100 over to FT for my experimental bankroll. I still use the same bankroll management as my primary roll. I fired up 2 $2.25 sngs. I hit two pair, and my opponent goes runner runner for the flush, out 6th. The other I had AK and reshoved against a bully, got two callers, AJ and QJ, the Jack hit, out 4th. I lost another $4 on in cash when my QQ got chased down by a flush, my AK, AQ, JJ all lost after the flop.

I played 2 $5.50s on Stars placed 4th and 2nd for +$2.50 but took a $4 hit in the cash game when I ran into AA with KK and just couldnt release the hand.

The game plan is to take off the next two night. Get pumped up full of holiday cheer. The food always helps too. I plan to 8 table on FT Friday night I hope it goes better.

Well have a Merry Christmas.

FT roll $95
PS roll $460

Tuesday, December 23, 2008

Just and update

Since I have been running bad I decided just to play two SNGs last night. Placed 4th and 2nd for $2.50 profit.

I also moved some money over to Full Tilt to play there when I am running bad on Poker Stars.

Game plan is to play the $2 sngs there until I reach $200 then move to the $5's.

Other than that not much going on. Will try and set in a set of 4 on FT tonight and see how that goes.

Monday, December 22, 2008

Its been a while, the upcoming new year and new goals.

Well Since I last posted 6 months ago I built my bankroll from $100 to $550 as of last night. I am currently having the worst month I have ever had. I am down $140 and most of that came yesterday -$89 I played 17 sngs and only cashed in 5 and no wins. Acutually I think they were all thirds.

I have also come to the conclusion when I blog, I win more. So I plan to get serious about poker and serious about blogging.

I am going to take a break for a few days and get through the holidays. I was hoping to get my roll to $800 by the end of this month but I figure I am tilted, running bad, or have a doomswitch on my account. Who knows.

As of Jan 1st I plan to pick up the pace and number of tables. The goal is to drop all the way down to $3.40 limit and 8 table 2 to 3 sets a night. I plan to hit 100 or more sngs per week.

Details 8 table $3.40 for two weeks. I expect my ROI to be somewhere between 15 and 20 percent. My goal however is 15. This will net my 51 cents per sng on average. So that $50 a week in profit. After the two weeks I will evaluate and then determine if I should move up. Bankroll target $650

At $5.50 and the same ROI which I believe is still attainable I should see an increase of $32 per week. I will continue this for 3 weeks and then evaluate. Banroll target $900.

At $11 and same ROI, I will continue to play the same and with my same win rate get and additonal $82 per week. I will conitnue this for the entire month of Febuary.
Bankroll target $1500.

I will post my nightly results, graphs, hands I feel that are important. Please feel free to comment.